Analyst: 75% chance of iPhone in next 12 months | iLounge News


Analyst: 75% chance of iPhone in next 12 months

Apple’s stock will benefit this year from new iPods, Intel-based Macs and the possibility of an Apple-branded cell phone, investment firm Piper Jaffray told clients this week. “We would be buyers of AAPL on the recent pullback given we believe iPod demand will accelerate in mid-CY06, based on upcoming positive seasonality and new form factor iPod’s,” Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster wrote in a research note sent to iLounge. “Additionally, we believe Apple will benefit from the new Intel-based Mac’s, along with what we estimate to be a 75% chance of a iPhone in the next 12 months.”

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Apple Computer, being a computer company as it says in the name, will only make a cell phone if it has a lot of connectivity to their computers. And somehow, I think the link between cell phones and computers is too tenuous for them to think about it seriously.

On the other hand, maybe not. They could make a phone that allows you to record sounds, photos, and videos and upload them to your .mac account automatically. And they could put iTunes on it. And who wouldn’t want the cleanliness of OSX as their phone’s GUI? In fact, they could make what is essential a new Newton, but with the ability to call someone on it. That wouldn’t be too bad. Maybe there’s something to that idea after all.

...Though I wonder how much chance he thinks there is of Apple making microwave ovens… toasters… cutlery… pet food… furniture… handbags… and jewelry. Personally I would totally wear Apple earrings.

Posted by Mikhail Gorbachev on March 17, 2006 at 3:41 PM (CST)


I HATE the idea of phones with iPods on them! let a good thing be a good thing!

Posted by LawnBoy on March 17, 2006 at 4:08 PM (CST)


Me: 75% chance of this analyst being completely wrong.

Posted by Lawrence Mikkelsen on March 17, 2006 at 5:10 PM (CST)


“I HATE the idea of phones with iPods on them! let a good thing be a good thing!

Posted by LawnBoy on March 17, 2006 at 1:08 PM (PST)”

couldn’t say it any better myself; i completely agree.

Posted by tom on March 17, 2006 at 5:38 PM (CST)


86.7% of statistics are made up on the spot.

How can you actually work out the chance of this?there’s absolutely nothing to go on?you simply have these 2 options:
-apple releasing an iphone
-apple not releasing an iphone

To me that seems 50% chance. but its still completely made up. Fine, speculate, but don tgive us percentage statistics. i thought people had to be smart to work in that line of business?

Posted by Dan Nicholls on March 17, 2006 at 6:31 PM (CST)


I give him a 27% approval rating.

Posted by Congo Billy on March 17, 2006 at 7:48 PM (CST)


I would love a iPhone as long as the form factor was similar to my Sidekick 2. On top of the music, I want to be able to surf the internet and manage my email, as well as IM and text people. If an iPhone can do that, its a must buy for me.

Posted by rockbox on March 18, 2006 at 1:59 AM (CST)


I say there is a 100% probability of at least 78325 analysts being paid this and next year for utterly irrelevant prognostics derived from the obvious in order to rise the piles of those too busy or ignorant to know where they actually put their money. Blessed they be before they and all they stand for goes down the drain.

Posted by Bad Beaver on March 18, 2006 at 6:59 AM (CST)


Bashing analysts is easy. An analyst is only as good as his/her projections, and the cell phone market is too big to be ignored by Apple. Projecting those potential sales into estimates isn’t pushing ignorant folks into a stock or prognosticating irrelevantly. It is making educated guesses on market opportunities for a company clearly in growth mode again. How one uses this research is more important than worrying about their ulterior motives.

Posted by sflip3 on March 18, 2006 at 12:14 PM (CST)


Dude shut up.  lol

Posted by CatholicULawJew on March 18, 2006 at 12:29 PM (CST)


The problem I have with apple releasing an “iphone” is that it is not that compatible.  As with the “great success” of the itunes phones on Cingular, it was not availible on any other carrier.  Apple would have to sell an unlocked phone that is compatible with all carriers if it wanted to be successful.

Posted by josh on March 18, 2006 at 6:51 PM (CST)


I think Apple will release an iPhone. Not an “iPod phone”, but an iPhone. It will be white and silver like an iPod, with extremely minimal outer controls. Everybody will immediately say that Apple has got it wrong, because you can’t do this, and you can’t do that. It probably won’t even support iTunes. (Because they sell the iPod for that, right?) It will just be a very, very basic phone and will cost twice as much as phones that have amazing capabilities. Within months it will be that top selling mobile phone in the world.

All this talk of an iPhone as though it will be an iPod/phone hybrid may well be wide of the mark, I suspect…

Posted by Magic Rabbits on March 19, 2006 at 1:11 PM (CST)


NO NO NO NO it wont happen, steve jobs might release an $100 dollar ipod case, but i doubt hes stupid enough to make a phone. But if they do it better be SPRINT!

Posted by indi3drummer on March 19, 2006 at 4:06 PM (CST)


OMG. I would be so happy if Apple produced an iphone. Damn. It would be the hautest shit.

Posted by dante on September 29, 2006 at 12:24 AM (CDT)


I have been waiting patiently for Apple to release an actual Apple design inspired cell phone, ipod since the disappointing ROKR was released a few years ago. You would think that with all the pubilicity stirring up just based on speculation is quite enough to entice apple to consider the project. In fact you can actually bet through which tells me that something besides hear say is getting everyone excited, but only time will tell.

Posted by Evolution123 on December 6, 2006 at 1:22 AM (CST)

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