Analyst: Apple could sell 8-12 million iPhones next year

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Analyst: Apple could sell 8-12 million iPhones next year

While he doesn’t expect Apple to introduce a cell phone at tomorrow’s special event, Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster continues to expect the company will ship an “iPhone” within the next 4-6 months. Despite admitting that his firm “has not seen any concrete evidence that the product is near completion or launch,” Munster says Apple could ship between 8-12 million phones next year. “Assuming Apple ships its iPhone early in 2007, at Macworld-07 or a special event, we expect the company will sell 8-12 million iPhones in the full calendar year,” Munster says. “We believe the most likely iPhone buyers would be those who have previously owned a higher average selling price HDD iPod.”

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Comments

1

I’d seriously consider an iPhone if it had the right features. If it’s half-baked, like the Rokr, then it will be no sale. If it has a large enough flash-based memory, with a solid phone capablity while looking good, it will be a hit.

Posted by Obadiah on September 11, 2006 at 9:11 AM (PDT)

2

Lets hope there will either be a new iPod with a (very much) increased storage capacity or that this “iPhone” will have a harddisk

Posted by Misplaced on September 11, 2006 at 9:23 AM (PDT)

3

I’m probably in the minority, but I’d be interested in an iPhone even if it only had limited iPod capabilities. I’m not looking for a replacement for my iPod—I’m looking for a replacement for my cell phone.

I just want a cell phone that incorporates Apple’s signature style and ease of use. Most cell phones today try to do everything, and as a result end up over-complicated. I just want to make and receive phone calls.

Posted by BJ Nemeth on September 11, 2006 at 4:40 PM (PDT)

4

If they give it limitations like the ROKR, it won’t sell well.

But if they make it too good, then it’ll take away sales from the Nano and the HDD iPod.

8-12 million iPhone would be good only if that’s on top of the expected 30-40 million iPods (nanos, shuffles, videos). Not if it was 8-12 million iPhones and that many fewer iPod sales.

Posted by wco81 in West Coast on September 11, 2006 at 4:51 PM (PDT)

5

8-12 million iphones being sold??? That’s a lot off people changing carriers most of which are tied in a 1 or 2 year contract?

I’d be surprised to see that many sell so soon; unless they make one hell of a phone.

Posted by 3rdEye on September 11, 2006 at 11:49 PM (PDT)

6

who says they have to switch carriers? Apple will just sell the phones through Verizion, Cingular, Tmobile, etc like Motorola, LG and others do…

Posted by nate on September 13, 2006 at 8:42 AM (PDT)

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